Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.595507 0.660117 0.729956 0.811244 0.903490 1.005188 1.126155
2025-08-31 0.487849 0.575612 0.677790 0.806330 0.964815 1.155249 1.403536
2025-09-07 0.430001 0.528732 0.649523 0.809746 1.019043 1.286433 1.659214
2025-09-14 0.382206 0.485215 0.616208 0.797405 1.045349 1.378392 1.869358
2025-09-21 0.346603 0.452015 0.590529 0.789148 1.072125 1.469385 2.085059
2025-09-28 0.309993 0.413265 0.552672 0.758638 1.062196 1.504650 2.220594
2025-10-05 0.294291 0.401158 0.549420 0.775286 1.120066 1.642764 2.528210
2025-10-12 0.279557 0.388805 0.544181 0.787621 1.171486 1.775238 2.843398
2025-10-19 0.264739 0.374912 0.535156 0.792726 1.211173 1.892190 3.147330
2025-10-26 0.251393 0.362012 0.526291 0.796737 1.248650 2.008469 3.465174
2025-11-02 0.240458 0.351824 0.520536 0.804755 1.292847 2.140099 3.829244
2025-11-09 0.224596 0.332914 0.499709 0.786085 1.289175 2.186117 4.034572
2025-11-16 0.215943 0.324907 0.495882 0.795978 1.337350 2.333438 4.468918
2025-11-23 0.204927 0.312427 0.483937 0.790946 1.358146 2.431966 4.818931
2025-11-30 0.196534 0.303587 0.477246 0.794294 1.394319 2.563807 5.262213
2025-12-07 0.186039 0.290615 0.462690 0.782231 1.399743 2.634320 5.578374
2025-12-14 0.177106 0.279705 0.450897 0.774160 1.411922 2.719734 5.943717
2025-12-21 0.165236 0.263171 0.428349 0.744333 1.377880 2.703196 6.057458
2025-12-28 0.161671 0.260633 0.430157 0.760609 1.438923 2.899964 6.744728
2026-01-04 0.157656 0.257062 0.429841 0.772667 1.492269 3.086223 7.442181
2026-01-11 0.152848 0.251809 0.426119 0.777656 1.530914 3.243441 8.092719
2026-01-18 0.148189 0.246559 0.422053 0.781577 1.567510 3.400379 8.775805
2026-01-25 0.144333 0.242542 0.420014 0.789415 1.613548 3.586341 9.586557